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POLICY TOPIC

Welfare & Public Services

The universal welfare state is a cornerstone of Danish society. But with an ageing population and growing pressure on public services, there is an ongoing debate about who should pay and who should deliver them.

SUMMARY

The universal welfare state is a cornerstone of Danish society. But with an ageing population and growing pressure on public services, there is an ongoing debate about who should pay and who should deliver them. Public health spending per capita: DKK 45,000 (Sundhedsstyrelsen 2022). State pensioners in Denmark: 1.1 million (Danmarks Statistik 2023).

KEY FIGURES

DKK 45,000
Public health spending per capita
Sundhedsstyrelsen 2022
1.1 million
State pensioners in Denmark
~30%
Share of GDP on welfare benefits
Danmarks Statistik 2023

See statistics in the charts below ↓

EVIDENCE BASE

The universal welfare state is associated with high social trust, low poverty and high quality of life in international comparison.

ESTABLISHED CONSENSUSSFI / VIVE 2023

Demographic pressure: the share of those aged 65 and over will rise from 20% (2024) to 25% of the population by 2040.

Public welfare spending amounts to roughly 28-33% of GDP depending on the measurement method and the business cycle.

ESTABLISHED CONSENSUSDanmarks Statistik 2023

STATISTICS AND DATA

Public social expenditure (% of GDP)
01020304030 %29 %33 %29 %29 %20152018202020222023
CONTEXTSocial expenditure includes healthcare, pensions, unemployment benefits, parental leave, care services and other transfers. The marked jump to 33.4% in 2020 is due to COVID-19 relief packages (wage compensation, business support) that temporarily increased public spending. The subsequent decline is a normalisation. The underlying trend is stable at around 28-30%, reflecting a strong but not uncontrolled welfare state. Demographic pressure from an ageing population is expected to push these costs upward in future.

PARTY POSITIONS

Importance shows how central this topic is to each party's platform.

Core topic

Strong defender of the universal welfare state, particularly hospitals and childcare. Opposed to letting private providers take over core public services.

Relevant

Wants to streamline and open up for more private co-financing, but is not opposed to welfare as a principle.

Relevant

Defends welfare for the elderly and "ordinary Danes" but is critical of benefits for recent arrivals.

Core topic

Wants significantly more investment in the public sector -- shorter working hours, better staffing ratios and more time for the individual citizen.

Relevant

Wants to break the public-sector monopoly with free choice and private alternatives across most welfare areas.

Relevant

Supports the welfare state but believes it needs modernisation and better resource management.

Relevant

Wants to preserve core welfare services but open up for more choice and private providers.

Core topic

Wants massive investment in the public sector and to roll back privatisations.

Relevant

Wants to prioritise mental health services, early intervention and equality within the welfare system.

Important

Elderly care is a core issue. Wants significantly more staff and better staffing ratios.

Important

Wants a welfare model that prioritises care and quality of life over production and efficiency.

Secondary

Wants to give citizens more freedom and self-determination and keep political control out of local services.

SOURCES

[K1]SFI / VIVE 2023: Den universelle velfærdsstat er forbundet med høj social tillid, lav fattigdom o
[K2]Danmarks Statistik Befolkningsfremskrivning 2024: Demografisk pres: andelen af 65+-årige vil stige fra 20% (2024) til 25% af befol
[K3]Danmarks Statistik 2023: Offentlige velfærdsudgifter udgør ca. 28-33% af BNP afhængigt af opgørelsesmetod
[S1]Sundhedsstyrelsen 2022: Offentlige sundhedsudgifter per capita: 45.000 kr.
[S2]Danmarks Statistik 2023: Folkepensionister i Danmark: 1,1 mio.
[S3]Danmarks Statistik 2023: Andel af BNP til velfærdsydelser: ~30 %
[P]DanPol: Party positions based on official party programmes and public statements.
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EducationElderly Care